Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 7.942391 8.858131 9.890295 11.151227 12.665883 14.447579 16.733841
2024-12-22 6.479045 7.643222 9.074970 11.007782 13.619609 17.141138 22.471465
2024-12-29 5.845117 7.164114 8.888269 11.393963 15.108388 20.731188 30.663982
2025-01-05 5.164118 6.483065 8.275642 11.011402 15.336378 22.466932 36.724562
2025-01-12 4.619309 5.902069 7.696674 10.539704 15.268379 23.634190 42.301130
2025-01-19 4.226373 5.482500 7.284679 10.236049 15.378271 25.107459 49.376444
2025-01-26 3.973598 5.233379 7.087389 10.229335 15.979860 27.697307 61.057830
2025-02-02 3.941922 5.299498 7.368383 11.047215 18.280590 34.797971 93.718833
2025-02-09 3.842880 5.251472 7.459235 11.544149 20.085675 41.730985 139.482289
2025-02-16 3.670922 5.074087 7.317334 11.588328 20.936338 46.638176 189.889455
2025-02-23 3.582766 5.020230 7.373798 12.014990 22.777454 55.773734 311.195976
2025-03-02 3.340298 4.700374 6.943924 11.417737 21.988327 55.612805 351.141790
2025-03-09 3.162516 4.491764 6.720813 11.277325 22.510192 61.468250 542.815922
2025-03-16 2.998941 4.298508 6.513506 11.155392 23.109472 68.639028 963.203653
2025-03-23 2.921497 4.241972 6.545421 11.550378 25.311201 86.235486 3893.229676
2025-03-30 2.753410 4.018716 6.246719 11.160113 25.047052 90.827321 10371.048555
2025-04-06 2.589889 3.793496 5.926544 10.679046 24.373493 92.497574 32943.413758
2025-04-13 2.460586 3.620271 5.692274 10.369465 24.187133 97.558520 NaN
2025-04-20 2.376397 3.520750 5.591429 10.362621 25.032271 111.975816 NaN
2025-04-27 2.386519 3.587604 5.819977 11.196648 29.273020 170.226162 NaN
2025-05-04 2.359528 3.585563 5.910543 11.703685 32.629328 243.538186 NaN
2025-05-11 2.291720 3.504520 5.831664 11.748772 34.088734 303.452502 NaN
2025-05-18 2.261135 3.490251 5.890616 12.184296 37.652076 462.186263 NaN